Counts or anybody have an update? Roughly I think PV picked up between 15-18 pts on jjk.
[img]http://www.gifsoup.com/view7/2505516/brandon-phillips-dugout-dance-o.gif[/img]
If by chance PV beats Gate City (not probable but possible) then they should be in over VA High assuming Honaker doesn't win their district.
It will be close but Lebanon probably jumped Kelly for 2nd last night. Schedule, Schedule, Schedule.
Here's what I came up with pretty quick (might be off some)...
Gate City 7-1 (games left: Powell Valley, Lee High)
Richlands W 20+12= 32
Tazewell W 20+8= 28
Sullivan South (TN) L 8+7= 15
Lebanon W 16+8= 24
Appalachia W 16+8= 24
Bluefield (WV) W 20+10= 30
John Battle W 16+4= 20
Va High W 16+8=24
Total Points= 197/24.63
Lebanon 4-3 (Games left: Lee, Marion, John Battle)
Honaker W 16+6= 22
Powell Valley W 16+6= 22
Tazewell L 8+4= 12
Gate City L 4+7= 11
Clintwood W 16+12= 28
Virginia High W 16+8= 24
Richlands L 8+6= 14
Total Points= 133/19.0
J.J. Kelly 6-1 (Games left: Clintwood, Appalachia, J.I. Burton)
Thomas Walker W 16+8= 24
Pound W 16+8= 24
Patrick Henry W 16+2= 18
Coeburn W 16+4= 20
Rye Cove W 16+0= 16
Lee High W 16+2= 18
Powell Valley L 4+3= 7
Total Points= 127/18.14
Powell Valley 3-4 (Games left: Gate City, Pound, Appalachia)
Lee High W 16+2= 18
Lebanon L 4+4= 8
Richlands L 8+6= 14
Harlan County (KY) L 8+6= 14
J.I. Burton W 16+12= 28
Clintwood L 4+6= 10
J.J. Kelly W 16+12= 28
Total Points= 120/17.14
Virginia High 4-4 (Games left: Abingdon, Lee)
Sullivan Central W 20+0= 20
John Battle W 16+4= 20
Tennessee High L 12+8= 20
Graham W 20+4= 24
Honaker W 16+6= 22
Chilhowie L 4+5= 9
Lebanon L 4+4= 8
Gate City L 4+7= 11
Total Points= 134/16.75
Honaker 3-5 (Games left: Hurley, Haysi)
Lebanon L 4+4= 8
Richlands L 8+6= 14
Coeburn W 16+4= 20
John Battle W 16+4= 20
Virginia High L 4+4= 8
Twin Valley W 16+0= 16
Tazewell L 8+4= 12
J.I. Burton L 4+6= 10
Total Points= 108/13.5
John Battle 2-6 (Games left: Castlewood, Lebanon)
Twin Springs W 16+6= 22
Virginia High L 4+4= 8
Holston L 4+7= 11
Honaker L 4+3= 7
Patrick Henry W 16+2= 18
Abingdon L 8+3=11
Gate City L 4+7= 11
Lee High L 4+1= 5
Total Points= 93/11.63
Coeburn 2-6
Clintwood L 4+6= 10
Ervinton W 16+6= 22
Honaker L 4+3= 7
J.J. Kelly L 4+6= 10
Thomas Walker L 4+4= 8
J.I. Burton L 4+6= 10
Rye Cove W 16+0= 16
Twin Springs L 4+3= 7
Total Points= 90/11.25
Lee High 1-5 (Games left: Lebanon, Gate City, Va High, Thomas Walker)
Powell Valley L 4+3= 7
Harlan County L 8+6= 14
Middlesboro L 4+3= 7
Harlan L 4+4= 8
J.J. Kelly L 4+6= 10
John Battle W 16+4= 20
Total Points= 66/11.0
so PV needs to either beat GC, or have Appy beat JJK??
Do not forget about VHS they should win there last 2 games and make things tough
Wow I totally forgot about VHS.
That does throw a knot into everything.
Say JJK goes 6-4, PV 5-5, and VHS wins out, Hurley wins the BDD. Who is in?
Tough to say PV needs to mak up 7 points on Kelly
Kelly needs to pull for TW, PH, RC and Coeburn
PV needs to pull for Lebanon, Richlands, HC, GC and Burton (assumeing a Kelly loss if not it will not matter)
The straight win advantage goes to PV however each win of the listed PV teams will only be worth 1 point
of the 3 games that they each have leftPV would pick up more than enough points to pass Kelly IF PV finishes 5-5 and Kelly 6-4 however kelly at 7-3 is another story (Matamaticly PV could still win but not likly)
VHS
Numbers wise VHS has 7 more points than Kelly right now but with only 2 games left to play one of those games is against Abingdon who is an AA team and worth 20 base points plus 6 rider points (I think)
All in all there are still to many ifs and buts to make a guess as to how it plays out BUT it looks like Kelly IS in the drivers seat if they can win 1 of there last 3 games unless PV beats GC in which casethings get another level harder to predict
I'm not great on this so please help me out if I'm wrong. If PV needs to pick up 7 points on JJK, is JJK not in trouble:
Both should lose this week meaning very little difference will occur in the points, after that PV should win out with Appy and Pound. However, JJK has JIB/Appy. If JIB beats JJK that alone makes up for the point differential, right? PV would get 16 points for beating Appy on the last week of the season and Kelly gets 4 for losing to JIB. Furthermore, that "win" by JIB gives PV two more bonus points. Throw all this in with the fact that PV has played a much tougher schedule you have to think that the Lebanons, Richlands, and Gate City's of the world are done losing. I just don't see how JJK can out point PV unless they upset CW/JIB or PV loses to Pound or Appy.
FWIW, I think PV/JJK both get in if Honaker loses the BDD. I also think PV avoids GC in the first round of the playoffs. Obviously, it will be close with VHS but I'm not sold they can beat Abingdon.
[img]http://www.gifsoup.com/view7/2505516/brandon-phillips-dugout-dance-o.gif[/img]
Bookmarks